SATURDAY NIGHT WAS PRECURSOR NIGHT
I wrote on Thursday that we'd have a busy Saturday night with guild awards being announced from Directors, Cinematographers, the Cinema Audio Society, the USC Scripter Award for adapted screenplay and the Annie Awards. TFF #46 was represented in the glut of news with Ford v Ferrari's win from the film's design from the Cinema Audio Society.
Other winners:
DGA: Sam Mendes/1917
USC Scripter: Greta Gerwig/Little Women
ASC (cinematography): Roger Deakins/1917
Annie: Klaus
The DGA win for Mendes has shifted the sentiment to 1917 to be the favorite for Mendes to win the Best Director Oscar and the film to win Best Picture. A number of number pros pointed out, however, that three of the last four years the DGA winner won the directing Oscar but the film did not win Best Picture:
2015: Alejandro Inarritu wins DGA and Oscar for The Revenant. Best Pic: Spotlight
2016: Damian Chazelle wins DGA and Oscar for La La Land. Best Pic: Moonlight
2017: Guillermo Del Toro wins DGA and Oscar and Shape of Water wins Best Pic.
2018: Alfonso Cuaron wins DGA and Oscar for Roma. Green Book wins Best Pic.
So the recent past suggests that 1917 winning Best Picture isn't a lock. Lots of folks are saying that perhaps Parasite pulls off the surprise a la Moonlight. My guess is that, should anything besides 1917 wins that it will actually be Tarantino's Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood.
The other results from Saturday's awards suggest good Oscar news for Gerwig and Deakins. The Annie award for Netflix's Klaus may be less predictive. I'm still expecting Toy Story 4 to take the Oscar statue in two weeks.
THE LAST BIG DOMINO...
The last big precursor is the Writers Guild Awards that will announced Saturday. Nominees are:
WGA Adapted Screenplay nominees:
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
The Oscar nominees differ with the inclusion of The Two Popes and exclusion of A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood.
WGA Original Screenplay nominees:
1917
Booksmart
Knives Out
Marriage Story
Parasite
The Oscar nominees differ with Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood in and Booksmart out.
MORE ANTICIPATION
I'm continuing to look at the various lists of "most anticipated" films for this and that source as I'm at the very start of trying to get a bead on which films might be in line for consideration of inclusion at TFF #47.
Today I'm looking at the list of 68 films from Vulture. Those films are listed by announced release date so it's easy to look at their list beginning with the films listed for September or later as well as films that are still listed with release dates to be announced.
That said, here's what Vulture is looking forward to that feels like a TFF #47 possible:
I'm Thinking of Ending Things (Charlie Kaufman)
Mank (David Fincher)
Dune (Denis Villenueve)
News of the World (Paul Greengrass)
Bergman Island (Mia Hansen Love)
The French Dispatch (Wes Anderson)
Nomadland (Chloe Zhao)
On the Rocks (Sophia Coppola)
The complete Vulture article is linked here.
I wrote on Thursday that we'd have a busy Saturday night with guild awards being announced from Directors, Cinematographers, the Cinema Audio Society, the USC Scripter Award for adapted screenplay and the Annie Awards. TFF #46 was represented in the glut of news with Ford v Ferrari's win from the film's design from the Cinema Audio Society.
Other winners:
DGA: Sam Mendes/1917
USC Scripter: Greta Gerwig/Little Women
ASC (cinematography): Roger Deakins/1917
Annie: Klaus
The DGA win for Mendes has shifted the sentiment to 1917 to be the favorite for Mendes to win the Best Director Oscar and the film to win Best Picture. A number of number pros pointed out, however, that three of the last four years the DGA winner won the directing Oscar but the film did not win Best Picture:
2015: Alejandro Inarritu wins DGA and Oscar for The Revenant. Best Pic: Spotlight
2016: Damian Chazelle wins DGA and Oscar for La La Land. Best Pic: Moonlight
2017: Guillermo Del Toro wins DGA and Oscar and Shape of Water wins Best Pic.
2018: Alfonso Cuaron wins DGA and Oscar for Roma. Green Book wins Best Pic.
So the recent past suggests that 1917 winning Best Picture isn't a lock. Lots of folks are saying that perhaps Parasite pulls off the surprise a la Moonlight. My guess is that, should anything besides 1917 wins that it will actually be Tarantino's Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood.
The other results from Saturday's awards suggest good Oscar news for Gerwig and Deakins. The Annie award for Netflix's Klaus may be less predictive. I'm still expecting Toy Story 4 to take the Oscar statue in two weeks.
THE LAST BIG DOMINO...
The last big precursor is the Writers Guild Awards that will announced Saturday. Nominees are:
WGA Adapted Screenplay nominees:
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
The Oscar nominees differ with the inclusion of The Two Popes and exclusion of A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood.
WGA Original Screenplay nominees:
1917
Booksmart
Knives Out
Marriage Story
Parasite
The Oscar nominees differ with Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood in and Booksmart out.
MORE ANTICIPATION
I'm continuing to look at the various lists of "most anticipated" films for this and that source as I'm at the very start of trying to get a bead on which films might be in line for consideration of inclusion at TFF #47.
Today I'm looking at the list of 68 films from Vulture. Those films are listed by announced release date so it's easy to look at their list beginning with the films listed for September or later as well as films that are still listed with release dates to be announced.
That said, here's what Vulture is looking forward to that feels like a TFF #47 possible:
I'm Thinking of Ending Things (Charlie Kaufman)
Mank (David Fincher)
Dune (Denis Villenueve)
News of the World (Paul Greengrass)
Bergman Island (Mia Hansen Love)
The French Dispatch (Wes Anderson)
Nomadland (Chloe Zhao)
On the Rocks (Sophia Coppola)
The complete Vulture article is linked here.
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